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沙其:穆巴拉克之后

伦敦书评2011.2.17 vol33, no4; czy
如果这是“新中东的分娩阵痛”,那么它们也完全不同于康多莉扎·赖斯辩称在2006年夏天以色列对黎巴嫩的战争期间看到的那种。

After Mubarak

穆巴拉克之后
 
Adam Shatz
 
孙捷、彭玉玲译
 
Popular uprisings are clarifying events, and so it is with the revolt in Egypt. The Mubarak regime – or some post-Mubarak continuation of it – may survive this challenge, but the illusions that have held it in place have crumbled. The protests in Tahrir Square are a message not only to Mubarak and the military regime that has ruled Egypt since the Free Officers coup of 1952; they are a message to all the region”s autocrats, particularly those supported by the West, and to Washington and Tel Aviv, which, after spending years lamenting the lack of democracy in the Muslim world, have responded with a mixture of trepidation, fear and hostility to the emergence of a pro-democracy movement in the Arab world’s largest country. If these are the ‘birth pangs of a new Middle East’, they are very different from those Condoleezza Rice claimed to discern during Israel’s war on Lebanon in the summer of 2006.
 
人民起义是澄清事件,而在埃及,与之相伴的是反抗。穆巴拉克政权——或者延续它的后穆巴拉克政权,也许会在这次挑战中生存下来,但全面控制国家的幻想是破灭了。解放广场的抗议事件向穆巴拉克和自1952年自由军官政变而上台统治埃及的军事政权,传递了一个信息;向那



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