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            <title>文佳筠、Stilwell：气候政策和行动：中美比较</title>
            <link>http://wen.org.cn/modules/article/view.article.php/2249/c19</link>
            <description><![CDATA[学科: 环保<br />关键词: 文佳筠，Matthew Stilwell, 气候政策，中国和美国，坎昆会议<br />摘要: 中国曾被指责“厌恶数字计算”。然而数字却讲述了一个不同的故事…<p><strong>气候政策和行动：中国和美国的比较</strong></p><br /><p><em>中国曾被指责</em><em>&quot;</em><em>厌恶数字计算</em><em>&quot;</em><em>。</em><em><sup>4</sup></em><em>然而数字却讲述了一个不同的故事</em><em>...</em></p><br /><table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><br />    <thead><br />        <tr align="left" style="background-color: #f1f1a6;" valign="middle"><br />            <td valign="top" width="296"><strong>Comparison</strong></td><br />            <td valign="top" width="158"><strong>United States</strong></td><br />            <td valign="top" width="198"><strong>China</strong></td><br />            <td valign="top" width="268"><strong>Measure</strong></td><br />        </tr><br />    </thead><br />    <tbody><br />        <tr><br />            <td valign="top" width="296"><em>中国的人口数量是美国的四倍</em></td><br />            <td valign="top" width="174">&nbsp;&nbsp; 3．07 亿</td><br />            <td valign="top" width="198">13．39 亿</td><br />            <td valign="top" width="268">人口数量 (2010)<sup>2</sup>&nbsp;</td><br />        </tr><br />        <tr><br />            <td valign="top" width="296"><em>中国的人均国内生产总值是美国的八分之一</em></td><br />            <td valign="top" width="158">购买力平价 $45,592</td><br />            <td valign="top" width="198">购买力平价$5,383&nbsp;</td><br />            <td valign="top" width="268">人均国内生产总值 (2010)<sup>14</sup></td><br />        </tr><br />        <tr><br />            <td valign="top" width="296"><em>中国的人均温室气体排放量是美国的四分之一</em></td><br />            <td valign="top" width="158">19.2 吨</td><br />            <td valign="top" width="198">4.9 吨</td><br />            <td valign="top" width="268">人均排放量 (2008)<sup>13</sup></td><br />        </tr><br />        <tr><br />            <td valign="top" width="296"><em>中国对气候变化的历史贡献</em><em>(</em><em>即累计历史排放量</em><em>)</em><em>大约是美国的三分之一</em></td><br />            <td valign="top" width="158">29.00%</td><br />            <td valign="top" width="198">8.62%</td><br />            <td valign="top" width="268">累计排放占全球排放的比例(1850-2006)<sup>17</sup></td><br />        </tr><br />        <tr><br />            <td valign="top" width="296"><em>中国对气候变化的人均历史贡献不到美国的</em><em>7%</em></td><br />            <td valign="top" width="158">人均1,125.6吨</td><br />            <td valign="top" width="198">人均76.0吨</td><br />            <td valign="top" width="268">人均累计排放量(1850-2006)<sup>17</sup></td><br />        </tr><br />        <tr><br />            <td valign="top" width="296"><em>如果以消费</em><em>(</em><em>相对于生产</em><em>)</em><em>来衡量排放量，中国的贡献会减少，因为中国的部分排放是来自生产供美国和其他国家消费的产品</em></td><br />            <td valign="top" width="158">总进口基于生产的排放量: 人均2.4 吨或者总排放量的 12%</td><br />            <td valign="top" width="198">总出口基于生产的排放量 (主要出口发达国家): 人均0.9 吨或者总排放量的22.5%</td><br />            <td valign="top" width="268">基于消费的排放量 (2004; 最近的数据统计)<sup>5</sup></td><br />        </tr><br />        <tr><br />            <td valign="top" width="296"><em>中国的排放总量高于美国，反映了它的更大的人口数量</em></td><br />            <td valign="top" width="158">58.33 亿吨</td><br />            <td valign="top" width="198">65.34 亿吨</td><br />            <td valign="top" width="268">温室气体排放总量 (2008)<sup>13</sup></td><br />        </tr><br />        <tr><br />            <td valign="top" width="296"><em>中国有一个详细的应对气候变化国家方案</em><em>;&nbsp;</em><em>美国还没有制定详细的国家气候立法</em></td><br />            <td valign="top" width="158">无</td><br />            <td valign="top" width="198">2007年制定应对气候变化国家方案</td><br />            <td valign="top" width="268">国家气候立法</td><br />        </tr><br />        <tr><br />            <td valign="top" width="296"><em>换算成一样的度量标准后</em><em>(</em><em>如下</em><em>)</em><em>，中国提出的国家减排目标高于美国</em></td><br />            <td valign="top" width="158">到2020年总量减少17%低于2005年水平，比1990年减排3-4% *</td><br />            <td valign="top" width="198">到2020年单位GDP碳强度比2005年减少40-45%&nbsp;<strong>*</strong></td><br />            <td valign="top" width="268">在2009年12月的哥本哈根气候谈判作出的承诺<sup>3</sup></td><br />        </tr><br />        <tr><br />            <td valign="top" width="296"><em>中国提出的到</em><em>2020</em><em>年温室气体减排目标是美国的三倍多</em></td><br />            <td valign="top" width="158">8亿吨</td><br />            <td valign="top" width="198">25亿吨</td><br />            <td valign="top" width="268">根据在哥本哈根提出的2020减排目标计算的二氧化碳减排数量<sup>18</sup></td><br />        </tr><br />        <tr><br />            <td valign="top" width="296"><em>中国有全国范围的能效目标</em><em>;&nbsp;</em><em>美国并没有同等的国家项目</em></td><br />            <td valign="top" width="158">无</td><br />            <td valign="top" width="198">十一五规划 (2006-2010) 采取措施到2010年能耗降低20%; 十二五规划 (2011-2015) 正在讨论采取政策措施到2020年再降低能耗15%-20%</td><br />            <td valign="top" width="268">国家能效标准</td><br />        </tr><br />        <tr><br />            <td valign="top" width="296"><em>中国采纳了国家可再生能源标准</em><em>;</em><em>美国只有一些州采纳了此类标准</em></td><br />            <td valign="top" width="158">州内 (29 个州采纳了标准; 加州最严格，为到2010年达到20%, 到2020年达到33% (行政命令))<sup>1</sup></td><br />            <td valign="top" width="198">全国性要求 - 到2010年非化石燃料占能源总量的10%, 到2020年占15%. 设施必须购买所有可再生能源发电。</td><br />            <td valign="top" width="268">可再生能源标准 (占能源来源的总量)</td><br />        </tr><br />        <tr><br />            <td valign="top" width="296"><em>中国对清洁能源的投资几乎是美国的两倍</em><em>;</em><em>占国内生产总值的比例大约是美国的三倍</em></td><br />            <td valign="top" width="158">$186 亿美元, 或者国内生产总值的0.13%</td><br />            <td valign="top" width="198">$346 亿美元, 或者国内生产总值的 0.39%</td><br />            <td valign="top" width="268">清洁能源投资(2009)<sup>12</sup></td><br />        </tr><br />        <tr><br />            <td valign="top" width="296">中国电力行业所隐含的碳价比美国高得多，更鼓励清洁能源的发展</td><br />            <td valign="top" width="158">$5.1/顿</td><br />            <td valign="top" width="198">$14.2/顿</td><br />            <td valign="top" width="268">电力行业所隐含的碳价<sup>19</sup></td><br />        </tr><br />        <tr><br />            <td valign="top" width="296">中国在清洁能源方面的投资是美国的两倍，而其军费是美国的1/6 左右</td><br />            <td valign="top" width="158">2008年94:1（对应每一美元的清洁能源方面投资，就有94美元的军费），2011年下降到41:1</td><br />            <td valign="top" width="198">2到3:1</td><br />            <td valign="top" width="268">军事费用和气候变化投资的比例<sup>20</sup></td><br />        </tr><br />        <tr><br />            <td valign="top" width="296"><em>中国和美国都给混合动力和清洁柴油汽车提供了税收激励</em></td><br />            <td valign="top" width="158">$450-$3,450<sup>7</sup></td><br />            <td valign="top" width="198">多达$3600 用于淘汰重污染汽车，以及其他经济激励购买清洁汽车<sup>9</sup></td><br />            <td valign="top" width="268">混合动力和清洁柴油汽车的税收激励 (2009)</td><br />        </tr><br />        <tr><br />            <td valign="top" width="296"><em>中国的汽车平均能效标准高于美国</em><em>20%</em></td><br />            <td valign="top" width="158">27 英里/升（mpg）</td><br />            <td valign="top" width="198">34 mpg</td><br />            <td valign="top" width="268">汽车平均能效<sup>11</sup></td><br />        </tr><br />        <tr><br />            <td valign="top" width="296"><em>作为一个发展中国家，中国仍然面临提供改善的水资源的挑战</em></td><br />            <td valign="top" width="158">100%</td><br />            <td valign="top" width="198">农村82%</td><br />            <td valign="top" width="268">能够获得改善的水源<sup>16</sup></td><br />        </tr><br />        <tr><br />            <td valign="top" width="296"><em>作为一个发展中国家，中国仍然面临提供改善的卫生条件的挑战</em></td><br />            <td valign="top" width="158">100%</td><br />            <td valign="top" width="198">在农村和城市地区分别是52-58%</td><br />            <td valign="top" width="268">能够获得改善的卫生条件<sup>16</sup></td><br />        </tr><br />    </tbody><br /></table><br /><p>&nbsp;<sup>&middot;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</sup>如果中国和美国都履行他们的哥本哈根减排承诺，到2020年美国的人均排放仍将是中国的两倍<sup>3</sup></p><br /><p>&nbsp;</p><br /><p>&nbsp;<sup>本表格编辑者：</sup></p><br /><p><sup>文佳筠 第三世界网络 （</sup><sup>Third World Network)</sup></p><br /><p><sup>Matthew Stilwell,&nbsp;</sup><sup>治理与可持续发展研究所 （</sup><sup>Institute for Governance &amp; Sustainable Development</sup></p><br /><p><sup>）</sup><strong>Sources</strong></p><br /><p><strong>&nbsp;</strong><sup>1&nbsp;</sup>California Energy Commission,&nbsp;<em>California's Renewable Energy Programs</em><a href="http://www.energy.ca.gov/renewables/index.html"><a href="http://www.energy.ca.gov/renewables/index.html" title="http://www.energy.ca.gov/renewables/index.html" rel="external">http://www.energy.ca.gov/renewables/index.html</a></a></p><br /><p><sup>2&nbsp;</sup>Central Intelligence Agency,&nbsp;<em>The World Factbook</em>.<a href="https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/index.html"><a href="https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/index.html" title="https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/index.html" rel="external">https://www.cia.gov/library/publicatio ... world-factbook/index.html</a></a></p><br /><p><sup>3&nbsp;</sup>Chandler, William and Yanjia, Wang.&nbsp;<em>Memo to Copenhagen:&nbsp;Commentary if Misinformed - China's Commitment is Significant,&nbsp;</em>Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 14 December 2009<a href="http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&amp;id=24275"><a href="http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&amp;id=24275" title="http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&amp;id=24275" rel="external">http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publ ... .cfm?fa=view&amp;id=24275</a></a></p><br /><p><em><sup>4&nbsp;</sup></em><em>Climate change after Copenhagen: China's thing about numbers</em>, The Economist, 30 December 2009</p><br /><p><sup>5&nbsp;</sup>Davis, Steven J. and Caldeira, Ken (2010). &quot;Consumption-based accounting of CO2 emissions&quot;<em>PNAS</em>, Vol. 107(12), pp. 5687-5692</p><br /><p><sup>6&nbsp;</sup>DeFranza, David.&nbsp;<em>The World Resource Institute's &quot;Environmental Stories to Watch in 2010&quot;</em>Treehugger, 07 January 2010&nbsp;<a href="http://www.treehugger.com/files/2010/01/the-world-resource-institutes-environmental-stories-to-watch-in-2010.php"><a href="http://www.treehugger.com/files/2010/01/the-world-resource-institutes-environmental-stories-to-watch-in-2010.php" title="http://www.treehugger.com/files/2010/01/the-world-resource-institutes-environmental-stories-to-watch-in-2010.php" rel="external">http://www.treehugger.com/files/2010/ ... ries-to-watch-in-2010.php</a></a></p><br /><p><sup>7&nbsp;</sup>hybridCARS,&nbsp;<em>Federal Tax incentives (United States)</em><a href="http://www.hybridcars.com/federal-incentives.html"><a href="http://www.hybridcars.com/federal-incentives.html" title="http://www.hybridcars.com/federal-incentives.html" rel="external">http://www.hybridcars.com/federal-incentives.html</a></a></p><br /><p><sup>8&nbsp;</sup>Merchant, Brian.&nbsp;<em>China's New Renewable Energy Law Should be a Wake Up Call for the U.S.,</em>Treehugger, 29 December 2009<a href="http://www.treehugger.com/files/2009/12/china-new-renewable-energy-laws.php"><a href="http://www.treehugger.com/files/2009/12/china-new-renewable-energy-laws.php" title="http://www.treehugger.com/files/2009/12/china-new-renewable-energy-laws.php" rel="external">http://www.treehugger.com/files/2009/ ... renewable-energy-laws.php</a></a></p><br /><p><sup>9&nbsp;</sup>Pasternack, Alex.&nbsp;<em>Beijing to Drivers:&nbsp;Give Up Your Car, We'll Pay You $3,600,&nbsp;</em>Treehugger, 09 January 2009<a href="http://www.treehugger.com/files/2009/01/beijing-to-drivers-stop-driving-we-pay.php"><a href="http://www.treehugger.com/files/2009/01/beijing-to-drivers-stop-driving-we-pay.php" title="http://www.treehugger.com/files/2009/01/beijing-to-drivers-stop-driving-we-pay.php" rel="external">http://www.treehugger.com/files/2009/ ... s-stop-driving-we-pay.php</a></a></p><br /><p><sup>10&nbsp;</sup>Pasternack, Alex.&nbsp;<em>Blaming China for Copenhagen Won't Help the Climate</em>, Treehugger, 28 December 2009<a href="http://www.treehugger.com/files/2009/12/why-blaming-china-for-copenhagen-wont-help-climate-cop15.php#ch03"><a href="http://www.treehugger.com/files/2009/12/why-blaming-china-for-copenhagen-wont-help-climate-cop15.php#ch03" title="http://www.treehugger.com/files/2009/12/why-blaming-china-for-copenhagen-wont-help-climate-cop15.php#ch03" rel="external">http://www.treehugger.com/files/2009/ ... lp-climate-cop15.php#ch03</a></a></p><br /><p><sup>11&nbsp;</sup>PEW Center on Global Climate Change,&nbsp;<em>Comparison of Actual and Projected Fuel Economy for New Passenger Vehicles</em><a href="http://www.pewclimate.org/federal/executive/vehicle-standards/fuel-economy-comparison"><a href="http://www.pewclimate.org/federal/executive/vehicle-standards/fuel-economy-comparison" title="http://www.pewclimate.org/federal/executive/vehicle-standards/fuel-economy-comparison" rel="external">http://www.pewclimate.org/federal/exe ... s/fuel-economy-comparison</a></a></p><br /><p><sup>12&nbsp;</sup>The PEW Charitable Trusts,&nbsp;<em>Who's Winning the Clean Energy Race? Growth, Competition, and Opportunity in the World's Largest Economies,&nbsp;</em>2010</p><br /><p><sup>13&nbsp;</sup>Union of Concerned Scientists,&nbsp;<em>Each Country's Share of CO2 Emissions</em><a href="http://www.ucsusa.org/global_warming/science_and_impacts/science/each-countrys-share-of-co2.html"><a href="http://www.ucsusa.org/global_warming/science_and_impacts/science/each-countrys-share-of-co2.html" title="http://www.ucsusa.org/global_warming/science_and_impacts/science/each-countrys-share-of-co2.html" rel="external">http://www.ucsusa.org/global_warming/ ... ountrys-share-of-co2.html</a></a></p><br /><p><sup>14&nbsp;</sup>United Nations Development Program,&nbsp;<em>Human Development Report 2009 - HDI Rankings</em><a href="http://hdr.undp.org/en/statistics/"><a href="http://hdr.undp.org/en/statistics/" title="http://hdr.undp.org/en/statistics/" rel="external">http://hdr.undp.org/en/statistics/</a></a></p><br /><p><sup>15&nbsp;</sup>United Nations General Assembly,&nbsp;<em>Resolution Recognizing Access to Clean Water and Sanitation Human Right,&nbsp;</em>28 July 2010<a href="http://www.un.org/News/Press/docs/2010/ga10967.doc.htm"><a href="http://www.un.org/News/Press/docs/2010/ga10967.doc.htm" title="http://www.un.org/News/Press/docs/2010/ga10967.doc.htm" rel="external">http://www.un.org/News/Press/docs/2010/ga10967.doc.htm</a></a></p><br /><p><sup>16&nbsp;</sup>WHO/UNICEF Joint Monitoring Programme (JMP) for Water Supply and Sanitation<a href="http://www.wssinfo.org/resources/documents.html?type=country_files"><a href="http://www.wssinfo.org/resources/documents.html?type=country_files" title="http://www.wssinfo.org/resources/documents.html?type=country_files" rel="external">http://www.wssinfo.org/resources/documents.html?type=country_files</a></a></p><br /><p><sup>17</sup>&nbsp;Cumulative emission data was calculated by WRI Carbon Analysis Indicator Tools<a href="http://cait.wri.org/"><a href="http://cait.wri.org/" title="http://cait.wri.org/" rel="external">http://cait.wri.org/</a></a></p><br /><p><sup>18</sup>&nbsp;This estimation was calculated on the basis of UNFCCC Secretariat analysis and documented in their Preliminary Assessment of pledges made by Annex 1 Parties and voluntary actions and policy goals by a number of non-Annex 1 Parties. (This leaked document was widely circulated, and made available at, for example:<a href="http://www.graphics8.nytimes.com/packages/pdf/science/17dotearth_3degrees.pdf"><a href="http://www.graphics8.nytimes.com/packages/pdf/science/17dotearth_3degrees.pdf" title="http://www.graphics8.nytimes.com/packages/pdf/science/17dotearth_3degrees.pdf" rel="external">http://www.graphics8.nytimes.com/pack ... e/17dotearth_3degrees.pdf</a></a>)</p><br /><p><sup>19&nbsp;</sup>&nbsp;The Climate Institute.&nbsp;<em>Putting a Price Tag on Pollution,&nbsp;</em>October 2010&nbsp;<a href="http://www.interactivemediarelease.com/ogilvy/ClimateInstitute"><a href="http://www.interactivemediarelease.com/ogilvy/ClimateInstitute" title="http://www.interactivemediarelease.com/ogilvy/ClimateInstitute" rel="external">http://www.interactivemediarelease.com/ogilvy/ClimateInstitute</a></a></p><br /><p><sup>20</sup>&nbsp;Institute for Policy Studies.&nbsp;<em>Military vs Climate Security: The 2011 Budgets Compared</em>, November 2010<a href="http://www.ips-dc.org/reports/military_vs_climate_security_the_2011_budgets_compared"><a href="http://www.ips-dc.org/reports/military_vs_climate_security_the_2011_budgets_compared" title="http://www.ips-dc.org/reports/military_vs_climate_security_the_2011_budgets_compared" rel="external">http://www.ips-dc.org/reports/militar ... the_2011_budgets_compared</a></a></p><br />]]></description>
            <author>wen.org.cn</author>
            <pubDate>Thu, 09 Dec 2010 14:00:55 +1600</pubDate>
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